S&P Global Commodity Insights Weekly ET News Highlights – April 24, 2023

Twenty US-based groups hoping to bring a hydrogen hub to their region submitted final applications to the Department of Energy, S&P Global confirmed last week. While the status of several other known groups remains unknown, the confirmed field of 20 applicants reveals a diverse array of hub proposals, each proposing to fuel their hub with a variety of feedstock combinations. The carbon capture industry in the US also showed signs of growth last week when Climeworks, a global leader in direct air capture technology, announced that it was increasing its US footprint to take advantage of the enhanced tax credits for carbon capture projects. The Swiss company said that it will be creating thousands of jobs in the US as it pursues several more direct air capture projects in the country.

The Port of Rotterdam Authority, operator of Europe's busiest container port, has called on the EU to tighten its regulations for emissions trading over fears that shipping lines could evade European port calls in order to dodge climate charges. Meanwhile Verra, the world's largest issuer of voluntary carbon credits, released a new draft methodology for REDD+ projects April 19, calling it the most "significant revision" of its practices, as it looks to restore the integrity and quality of its forest carbon credits. Finally, a meaningful spot market for sustainable aviation fuel, or SAF, is at least five years away, producers of the fuel said April 20. SAF accounts for less than 0.05% of total EU aviation fuel use.

In Asia Pacific, renewable and low-carbon ammonia took center stage last week with companies attempting to establish supply chains that would help power generators and industries to decarbonize. In Japan, the first shipment of independently certified low carbon ammonia produced by SABIC Agri-Nutrients with feedstock from Saudi Aramco arrived for use by the Sodegaura refinery for co-fired power generation. In South Korea, Korea Electric Power Corp., or KEPCO, signed a memorandum of understanding with Japan's Idemitsu Kosan aimed at developing blue ammonia supply chains that would seek to optimize ammonia shipping costs from joint shipping arrangements and balance the companies' ammonia supply and demand from such steps as swapping cargoes. Australian renewables company Ark Energy undertook a feasibility study investigating the potential for a large-scale renewable ammonia supply chain between Queensland and South Korea. Separately, in India, expressions of interest for building clean hydrogen innovation clusters in partnership with the government and industry players have been invited. -- Rocco Canonica

Americas

SPGlobal.com

At least 20 hubs submitted final applications for US hydrogen hub funding

EV adoption to grow rapidly as used vehicles come to lower-income communities

Platts Dimensions Pro

Climeworks to add 'thousands' of US jobs in pursuit of direct air capture projects

Project Canary pushes back against report claiming it failed to detect 'pollution events'

Air Products' green hydrogen import plans for California in flux as market evolves: VP

EMEA

SPGlobal.com

EU carbon prices back near Eur90/mt as compliance demand softens

Verra makes major changes to methodology of forest-based carbon offsets

This year could be a game changer for PPA market growth: RE-Source

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European spot market for SAF at least 5 years away: producers

Rotterdam wants tighter EU ETS rules to counter port call evasion

APAC

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Keppel, ExxonMobil partner to develop hydrogen, ammonia solutions for Singapore

India invites expressions of interest for clean hydrogen innovation clusters

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Saudi Aramco concludes first shipment of certified low-carbon ammonia to Japan for commercial use

Japan's Idemitsu, South Korea's KEPCO to explore blue ammonia supply chains

Queensland project to study renewable ammonia supply chain to Korea

Chart of the week:

Quotes of the week:

"The application process was just so aggressive, so fast. There was so much work required in modeling. In order to meet that April 7 [US DOE] deadline, you really had to lock in a governance structure and a management structure very early in the process in order to be able to do the techno-economic modeling that was required. … The process was just inherently challenging." -- Jeff Pollack, Horizons and Trans Permian Clean Hydrogen Hub

"Verra is constantly reviewing and refining its standards to include the latest data and science. We seek to establish the best possible standards through transparent, open consultation across civil society and the corporate sector, and we are confident the draft changes announced today are the next critical step in that ongoing journey of reflection and improvement" -- Verra CEO David Antonioli

Prices of the week:

$493 million

How much Shell spent on EU ETS allowances and other carbon market schemes in 2022

Eur6.15/mtCO2

Platts nature-based avoidance carbon credit assessment has fallen 53% year on year

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S&P Global Commodity Insights Weekly ET News Highlights – Apr 15, 2024

Moment of truth looms for European green hydrogen investments Energy transition highlights: Our editors and analysts bring you the biggest stories from the industry this week, from renewables to storage to carbon prices. Time is running out to get on track with Europe's ambitious 2030 hydrogen production targets as developers due to take final investment decisions battle macroeconomic headwinds, industry representatives said at the Reuters Hydrogen conference in Amsterdam. Recent years have seen a multitude of project announcements, pre-front end engineering design studies, FEED studies and preliminary investments, though FIDs have been scarce. “There are some board rooms that are getting a little bit impatient by now,” Rabobank Executive Director Hyung-ja de Zeeuw said April 9. “If you think that we’ve only got six years left until 2030, I guess 2024 is going to be a key year for clean hydrogen projects here in Europe.” Around 4% of announced clean hydrogen projects in Europe have taken FIDs, according to Hydrogen Council Director Policy and Partnerships Daria Nochevnik. Price of the week: Eur4.50/kg The price ceiling for the first pilot auction under the European Hydrogen Bank mechanism. Results will be announced April 30, with the fund expected to clear well below the cap. Editor’s pick: Premium and free content SPGlobal.com Biden's carbon capture plans inch closer to reality amid uptick in well permits The Biden administration's ambition to capture carbon dioxide on a large scale and inject it back into the ground may have seemed daunting one year ago with only two CO2 storage facilities in the US. But a boost in federal spending on the technology in 2021 and 2022 may finally be bearing fruit after a sudden uptick in permits, according to industry watchers. Australia to unveil new plan for clean energy, green manufacturing: PM Australia will unveil a new plan in 2024 to support clean energy and green manufacturing projects to compete better against other nations’ subsidy schemes such as the US’ Inflation Reduction Act to draw investments in clean fuels, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said, in what is being seeing as a pointer to big new fund allocations coming up. Escalating geopolitical tensions may give carbon market a key role to play: GenZero Carbon markets will be most critical in a scenario where global climate action is fragmented and geopolitical tensions are at their highest, as opposed to a scenario of full climate cooperation where carbon markets are least needed, Singapore’s state-owned decarbonization investment platform GenZero said. Platts Connect European Hydrogen Bank pilot auction to clear well below Eur4.50/kg price ceiling The first pilot auction for green hydrogen production under the EU’s European Hydrogen Bank facility will clear comfortably below the price ceiling of Eur4.50/kg ($4.89/kg), Innovation Fund policy officer Johanna Schiele said April 10. The results of the first Eur800 million auction will be released on April 30, Schiele said. Hydrogen market developing in New York; regulatory, power market challenges remain Using hydrogen to generate power in New York does not currently add up economically, but there is reason for optimism as the technology to do so will likely be needed in some capacity to help meet state decarbonization goals, experts said. China’s CEIC starts construction of 100,000 mt/year capacity green ammonia project China Energy Investment Corporation, one of the country’s largest state-owned energy companies, has started construction of its renewable ammonia project in Cangzhou in the eastern province of Hebei with a planned annual production capacity of 100,000 mt, likely to be completed by Q4 2025.

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S&P Global Commodity Insights Weekly ET News Highlights – Apr 8, 2024

US Solar eclipse expected to significantly reduce solar power output in several markets Energy transition highlights: Our editors and analysts bring together everything you need to know about the industry this week, from renewables to storage to carbon prices. A total solar eclipse will cross North America on April 8, passing over Mexico, the US and Canada, causing significant reductions in solar power plant output with the greatest impacts occurring in the Electric Reliability Council of Texas and PJM Interconnection power markets. An annular eclipse obscures most of the sun except for a halo of sunlight around the edge of the moon’s dark disc, while during a total eclipse the entirety of the sun will be blocked by the moon. In Dallas, the partial eclipse will begin at 12:23 pm CT, with maximum totality occurring at 1:42 pm and the partial eclipse will end at 3:02 pm, according to the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Maximum totality will reach Cleveland at 3:15 pm ET, Buffalo at 3:20 pm, and Caribou, Maine at 3:33 pm. Solar power production in ERCOT is expected to drop to 3 GW generated during the hour of totality versus the roughly 18 GW that is usually generated during that same time of day on a clear sky day in April, according to Maxar Technologies, an advanced forecasting company that provides data to US power grid operators. As the moon’s shadow moves north through the PJM footprint, solar power output is expected to drop to around 1.6 GW during the hour of totality compared with roughly 7GW on a clear sky day in April, a Maxar spokesperson said in an email. Even under cloudy skies, PJM is preparing for temporary losses of at least 80% to 85% of the production from the approximately 8.2 GW of grid-connected solar or metered solar resources that are part of the PJM solar generation fleet in early April, the grid operator said in a media release. Price of the week: On the Intercontinental Exchange during April 5 trading, ERCOT North Hub day-ahead on-peak rose about $17.50 from its previous settlement to $27/MWh and its corresponding real-time peak contract jumped about $19 to around $29.50/MWh for April 8 delivery. Editor’s pick: Premium and free content SPGlobal.com INTERVIEW: Building a credible carbon market takes time; 'bear with us', says ICVCM A step-by-step approach to informing the market about which project methodologies meet high-quality carbon credit thresholds is considered the best way forward given the high number of methodologies involved, the Integrity Council for the Voluntary Carbon Market said. The ICVCM confirmed that carbon credit programs from American Carbon Registry, Climate Action Reserve and Gold Standard had met its high-quality Core Carbon Principle labels. China kicks off consultation on expanding compliance carbon market to cement sector China has kicked off public consultation on drafting guidelines around emissions accounting and verification for the country's cement sector, laying the foundation for its inclusion in the national compliance carbon market, the Ministry of Ecology and Environment said in a notice late April 3. Thailand's Bangchak, Japan's Sumitomo join forces for green UCO-to-SAF supply chain Thailand-based energy firm Bangchak and Japan's Sumitomo Corp. have signed a cooperative framework agreement for the procurement of used cooking oil and the sale of sustainable aviation fuel, the companies said in an April 3 joint release. Platts Connect Denmark paves way for hydrogen pipeline exporting surplus wind to Germany Denmark is paving the way for state financing for the Jutland hydrogen backbone pipeline to export surplus wind power to Germany, the energy ministry said. Political parties agreed five framework conditions that need to be met for grid operator Energinet to go-ahead with the project including a 1.4-GW or 44% of total capacity booking requirement by private companies. China’s domestic renewable energy certificate trade volume up tenfold in 2023 The annual trading volume of China’s domestic renewable energy certificates, called Green Electricity Certificates, increased almost tenfold to 96 million certificates in 2023, a record high for a year, from 9.69 million certificates in 2022, data from the country’s GEC trading platform showed. Fortescue misses FID date for key renewable hydrogen project under Genex PPA Fortescue Future Industry has missed the deadline for final investment decision (FID) for a key renewable hydrogen/ammonia project in Australia, thus failing to meet a buyer’s condition in a Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) with Genex Power, Genex said April 2.

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Infographic: The impact of the total solar eclipse on US power generation

A total solar eclipse will cross North America on April 8, resulting in heavily reduced solar power plant output. It will differ from an annular eclipse in that the sun will be entirely blocked by the moon, rather than partially blocked with a visible halo of sunlight. Power markets in Texas and the Mid-Atlantic region are expected to see the biggest impact in solar-powered generation. Related feature: US solar eclipse expected to significantly reduce solar power output in several markets (subscriber content) Click here for the full-size infographic

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Infographic: Grid-forming inverter technology to boost greener power systems

With rapid penetration of solar photovoltaic, wind and battery energy storage, power systems are shifting away from conventional synchronous generators towards power electronics, i.e., inverters, which may lead to risks of grid instability. Grid-forming inverter technology has been developed to support grid operation by providing similar capabilities as synchronous generators. Related report: Grid-forming technology report, 2024 (subscriber content) See the full size infographic here