S&P Global Commodity Insights’ energy transition news highlights, May 16 2022

Selling the energy transition to hard-pressed consumers is getting harder, politicians in Europe are finding. Financial support for hydrogen and nuclear in the UK, for instance, will add levies to household tariffs that have just gone up 54% due to soaring gas prices. Meanwhile Europe's steel industry says it needs renewable hydrogen costs to fall to $3/kg for green steel to break even. As our hydrogen price wall shows, this is theoretically within reach in the US and Australia, but Europe is a long way off.

In Asia, Queensland's May 11 hydrogen export memorandum of understanding with the Port of Rotterdam is the third such deal offering the prospect of cheap Australian supply into Europe. Rotterdam has a target to import up to 20 million tonnes of hydrogen by 2050, starting with imports of ammonia in 2025. Meanwhile CORSIA-eligible carbon credits are to form a baseline for voluntary credits used to offset taxable emissions in Singapore, a government official said May 11. The aviation sector-recognized credits were "robust and credible", backed by a multilateral process under the UN and widely accepted by industrial buyers.

In the US, the Haynesville Shale has become a hotbed of certified natural gas production thanks to its close proximity to LNG export terminals and its naturally lower methane intensity. By the end of the year, roughly 53% of the basin's gas output will be certified, and around 40% of those commitments were made this year. With this gathering momentum towards cleaner gas, Haynesville is slated to supply 35% of all US certified gas by end of 2022, bested only by Appalachia, which will supply 60%. Also on the Gulf Coast, two LNG projects were given extended construction deadlines from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission last week – a positive sign for other export-related LNG projects awaiting a green light from regulators.

Henry Edwardes-Evans

EMEA

SPGlobal.com

Rare earth element prices to remain strong as demand exceeds supply: Ionic

Hydrogen below $3/kg needed for breakeven green steel in Europe: industry body

Renewable hourly certificates to bring transparency, aid liquidity, says Granular

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Nuclear levy will be added to UK household power bills: Kwarteng

Rotterdam aims to supply 4.6 million mt/year of hydrogen by 2030

Asia

South Korea's bourse operator pushes for futures market for carbon emissions

China's new energy vehicle output, sales take sharp hit in April on pandemic

Lack of consensus on premium of popular REDD+ carbon projects grow

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CORSIA-eligible carbon credits will be eligible to offset Singapore emissions: official

Queensland signs hydrogen offtake deal with Port of Rotterdam

Americas

Right time, right place for Haynesville Shale to meet global call for cleaner natural gas

FERC extends construction deadlines for two US LNG projects despite protests

Energy security, Russia sanctions to be key topics as Biden meets with Italian, Asian leaders

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ERCOT's Houston Hub has third day in a row of quadruple-digit real-time prices

FERC approves NYISO capacity market changes targeting 100% carbon-free grid

Chart of the week

The Haynesville Shale is well placed to leverage its naturally low methane intensity.

Quote of the week

"However you slice or dice it, that is an awful lot of hydrogen" – National Grid's Project Director for Hydrogen, Antony Green, on government projections for 250-460 TWh of hydrogen by 2050.

Price of the week

$5.10/mtCO2

Platts CEC (CORSIA-eligible) carbon credit assessment May 13, down 36% since Feb. 10.

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S&P Global Commodity Insights Weekly ET News Highlights – Apr 15, 2024

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S&P Global Commodity Insights Weekly ET News Highlights – Apr 23, 2024

JERA signs deal with CF Industries to develop 1.4 mil mt/year US ammonia project by 2028 Energy transition highlights: Our editors and analysts bring you the biggest stories from the industry this week, from renewables to storage to carbon prices. Japan's largest power generation company, JERA has agreed with US-based CF Industries to explore the development of a 1.4 million mt/year low-carbon ammonia project at the latter's Blue Point Complex in Louisiana, with the plan to start production in 2028. Under a joint development agreement, JERA is considering taking a 48% stake in the project as well as procuring more than 500,000 mt/year of ammonia to meet low carbon fuel demand in Japan. JERA and CF Industries aim to make a final investment decision "within a year" for the project, which will capture CO2 from production and use it for carbon capture and storage, according to a JERA spokesperson. JERA has pledged to commercialize its ammonia co-firing power generation by 2030 as part of its aim to start using 100% ammonia as fuel in the 2040s for its 2050 carbon neutrality target. Platts, a part of S&P Global Commodity Insights, assessed NSW hydrogen produced via alkaline electrolysis at $3.08/kg on April 19, up 33% on the month. It assessed Japan hydrogen produced via alkaline electrolysis at $2.56/kg on April 19, down 42% on the month. SPGlobal.com Uniper delays Rotterdam hydrogen plant amid high grid fees, lack of offtake certainty Uniper has pushed back the startup of the first 100-MW phase of its planned H2Maasvlakte green hydrogen plant in Rotterdam, the Netherlands, after failing to secure a power purchase agreement for the facility, and amid high grid fees and uncertainty over sufficient offtake interest. China kicks off consultation for compliance emission trading rules in 2024-2025 China, the world's largest compliance carbon market by emission volumes covered, has kicked off an internal consultation for the compliance emission trading rules to be implemented in 2024-2025 among power companies, according to a consultation document seen by S&P Global Commodity Insights. Platts Connect Woodside aims for renewable hydrogen supply in Western Australia in 2025 Woodside Energy, that is developing clean hydrogen/ammonia projects in Australia and the US, is targeting supply of renewable hydrogen in Western Australia for industrial and transport customers from its H2Perth refueling project in 2025. Detailed engineering, construction, commissioning and start-up work scopes have been awarded. Twenty-five US states launch legal challenge to Biden tailpipe emissions rule Twenty-five Republican-led states sued the United States Environmental Protection Agency April 18, hoping to block a new EPA rule designed to limit car tailpipe emissions and advance the Biden administration's push for electric vehicle adoption.

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S&P Global Commodity Insights Weekly ET News Highlights – Apr 8, 2024

US Solar eclipse expected to significantly reduce solar power output in several markets Energy transition highlights: Our editors and analysts bring together everything you need to know about the industry this week, from renewables to storage to carbon prices. A total solar eclipse will cross North America on April 8, passing over Mexico, the US and Canada, causing significant reductions in solar power plant output with the greatest impacts occurring in the Electric Reliability Council of Texas and PJM Interconnection power markets. An annular eclipse obscures most of the sun except for a halo of sunlight around the edge of the moon’s dark disc, while during a total eclipse the entirety of the sun will be blocked by the moon. In Dallas, the partial eclipse will begin at 12:23 pm CT, with maximum totality occurring at 1:42 pm and the partial eclipse will end at 3:02 pm, according to the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Maximum totality will reach Cleveland at 3:15 pm ET, Buffalo at 3:20 pm, and Caribou, Maine at 3:33 pm. Solar power production in ERCOT is expected to drop to 3 GW generated during the hour of totality versus the roughly 18 GW that is usually generated during that same time of day on a clear sky day in April, according to Maxar Technologies, an advanced forecasting company that provides data to US power grid operators. As the moon’s shadow moves north through the PJM footprint, solar power output is expected to drop to around 1.6 GW during the hour of totality compared with roughly 7GW on a clear sky day in April, a Maxar spokesperson said in an email. Even under cloudy skies, PJM is preparing for temporary losses of at least 80% to 85% of the production from the approximately 8.2 GW of grid-connected solar or metered solar resources that are part of the PJM solar generation fleet in early April, the grid operator said in a media release. Price of the week: On the Intercontinental Exchange during April 5 trading, ERCOT North Hub day-ahead on-peak rose about $17.50 from its previous settlement to $27/MWh and its corresponding real-time peak contract jumped about $19 to around $29.50/MWh for April 8 delivery. Editor’s pick: Premium and free content SPGlobal.com INTERVIEW: Building a credible carbon market takes time; 'bear with us', says ICVCM A step-by-step approach to informing the market about which project methodologies meet high-quality carbon credit thresholds is considered the best way forward given the high number of methodologies involved, the Integrity Council for the Voluntary Carbon Market said. The ICVCM confirmed that carbon credit programs from American Carbon Registry, Climate Action Reserve and Gold Standard had met its high-quality Core Carbon Principle labels. China kicks off consultation on expanding compliance carbon market to cement sector China has kicked off public consultation on drafting guidelines around emissions accounting and verification for the country's cement sector, laying the foundation for its inclusion in the national compliance carbon market, the Ministry of Ecology and Environment said in a notice late April 3. Thailand's Bangchak, Japan's Sumitomo join forces for green UCO-to-SAF supply chain Thailand-based energy firm Bangchak and Japan's Sumitomo Corp. have signed a cooperative framework agreement for the procurement of used cooking oil and the sale of sustainable aviation fuel, the companies said in an April 3 joint release. Platts Connect Denmark paves way for hydrogen pipeline exporting surplus wind to Germany Denmark is paving the way for state financing for the Jutland hydrogen backbone pipeline to export surplus wind power to Germany, the energy ministry said. Political parties agreed five framework conditions that need to be met for grid operator Energinet to go-ahead with the project including a 1.4-GW or 44% of total capacity booking requirement by private companies. China’s domestic renewable energy certificate trade volume up tenfold in 2023 The annual trading volume of China’s domestic renewable energy certificates, called Green Electricity Certificates, increased almost tenfold to 96 million certificates in 2023, a record high for a year, from 9.69 million certificates in 2022, data from the country’s GEC trading platform showed. Fortescue misses FID date for key renewable hydrogen project under Genex PPA Fortescue Future Industry has missed the deadline for final investment decision (FID) for a key renewable hydrogen/ammonia project in Australia, thus failing to meet a buyer’s condition in a Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) with Genex Power, Genex said April 2.

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Infographic: The impact of the total solar eclipse on US power generation

A total solar eclipse will cross North America on April 8, resulting in heavily reduced solar power plant output. It will differ from an annular eclipse in that the sun will be entirely blocked by the moon, rather than partially blocked with a visible halo of sunlight. Power markets in Texas and the Mid-Atlantic region are expected to see the biggest impact in solar-powered generation. Related feature: US solar eclipse expected to significantly reduce solar power output in several markets (subscriber content) Click here for the full-size infographic