India to update climate commitment with 50% renewable power mix pledge

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India is to update its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) under the United Nations' Framework Convention on Climate Change to include a 50% target for renewables in the power mix by 2030, the Environment Ministry said Aug. 3.

The update confirms some, but not all, of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's COP26 pledges made in November last year.

Then Modi pledged to reach net-zero emissions by 2070 and have 500 GW of renewables by 2030. India would strive to get 50% of its energy from renewable sources by 2030, reducing total projected carbon emissions by one billion tonnes, he said.

"India now stands committed to reduce emissions intensity of its GDP by 45% by 2030, from 2005 level and achieve about 50% cumulative electric power installed capacity from non-fossil fuel-based energy resources by 2030," the Ministry said.

There was no reference to the 500 GW renewables capacity or one billion tonne CO2 reduction goals, although the updated NDC is yet to be officially published.

India's renewables installed capacity now stands at 168 GW, which is 42% of the total power capacity of 404 GW, Power Ministry data showed.

The NDC would be implemented via government programs with support from states and union territories, the Ministry said without giving details.

The government had launched several programs to scale up India's adaptation and mitigation efforts, the Ministry said.

For instance, Indian Railways' net-zero emissions by 2030 alone would abate 60 million mt CO2 annually, it said.

In its previous NDC India had committed to reduce emissions intensity by 33%-35% from 2005 levels, with non-fossil fuel sources accounting for 40% of the generation mix by 2030.

Under Platts Analytics' Reference Case, India's power generation emissions are seen increasing from 1.28 billion mt in 2022 to 1.61 billion mt in 2050.

Under a scenario putting India on course to meet Paris Agreement goals, the country's CO2 emissions from power generation would need to peak at 1.4 billion mt in 2023 before falling to 1.18 billion mt in 2030 and 997.46 million mt by 2050.

Financial support

The Environment Ministry called for funding assistance to deliver on the updated plans.

"Providing new and additional financial resources as well as transfer of technology to address the global climate change challenge are among the commitments and responsibilities of the developed countries under UNFCCC and the Paris Agreement," it said.

India needed its "due share" of international finance and technological support, it said.

In the run up to COP26 the UK presidency admitted wealthy nations had failed to honor a pledge to provide $100 billion a year of climate support for less wealthy nations by 2020.

The earliest the target cold be achieved was 2023, according to analysis by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.

June generation up

Data from India's Central Electricity Authority, meanwhile, showed India's fossil-based thermal generation up 24% year on year in June to some 106 TWh.

Renewable generation in May, the latest data available, was at 21 TWh, up 44% YoY, accounting for around 14% of the generation mix.

INDIA: GENERATION MIX IN MAY (TWh)

May-22
May-21
Thermal
108.38
87.51
Nuclear
3.47
4.00
Hydro
12.83
11.75
Import
0.35
0.57
Wind
10.17
7.10
Solar
8.83
6.00
Biomass
0.31
0.30
Bagasse
0.72
0.40
Small hydro
0.64
0.55
Others
0.21
0.18
Total
145.91
118.36

Source: Central Electricity Authority

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